Hopefully everyone has done their preparatory diligence and are well situated to assist their family, because prices on fast turn consumable goods (groceries) are now less than 30 days from entering exponential increase phase. CTH has been counting down the days to impact as the contract terms of 30, 60 and 90 days have begun expiring.
The Wall Street Journal has seen the first pricing notification memo from Kraft-Heinz food group to the buying offices of major U.S. retailers. Here’s how the WSJ presents it: “Kraft Heinz Co. told retailer customers that it would raise prices across many of its products including Jell-O pudding and Grey Poupon mustard, with some items going up as much as 20%, according to a memo viewed by The Wall Street Journal.” VIDEO:
Keep in mind a few points:
(1) The outlined price increases noted are against current price terms and contracts. Meaning, these are price increases from right now to the next fulfillment. These are not inflation price increases which are compared to a year ago. These are 5% to 20% increases from the current price right now.
(2) The price increases are not the final price increase. This is the price of a contract today from the field to the distribution center. The retailer also has additional price increases (transportation, energy, labor, etc) which they need to add to the wholesale price before you see the final price at retail (grocery store).
The final field to fork price is not yet known but will be higher than noted above. We are only seeing the notifications from field, through processing and into warehousing and distribution.
Additionally, the more an item needs to be processed, the higher the price increase will be. Food items that require multiple raw materials, ingredients and bases for processing (ex. condiments), when combined with increased packaging costs (oil, energy), will be much higher than foods with less processing, handling and packaging.
This has always been the nature of this specific supply chain.
Example: Many products, food, drinks and even cleaning products, contain citrus bases, additives, flavorings and distillation. Those products will be much higher in price due to the price increases in raw materials, combined with higher energy and petroleum costs. It is an issue of cumulative price increases in the production of the product from beginning to end.
CTH has recommended preparing for these massive increases in 2022 prices by thinking about the base products you use to make meals at home and holding an extra supply of shelf stable products, so you won’t hit the grocery store and face those massive increases. Another example will be coffee. Keep in mind Kraft Foods is Maxwell House.
(Wall Street Journal) – […] The Labor Department said the consumer-price index rose 6.8% in November from a year ago, the fastest pace since 1982. The food-at-home index, which includes purchase from grocery stores, rose 6.4% over the past 12 months, with meats, poultry, fish and eggs increasing 12.8%.
Coming price increases in 2022 range from as low as 2% to 20%, hitting all sections of the grocery store including produce and packaged goods. Potatoes, celery and other heavier vegetables will have higher price tags next year in part because of higher freight costs, supermarket executives said. Wine, beer and liquor are also likely to get more expensive, they said, especially those that are imported.
Pantry staples such as mayonnaise and frozen meals are expected to be more pricey partly because of higher labor, logistics and packaging costs, some executives said. (read more)
A working-class family who typically spends $200 to $300 a week on groceries is already getting hammered at the gas pumps and grocery store. Another $50 bucks on top of the grocery bill each week can be very stressful.
Even if you don’t have kids at home, perhaps your adult children have kids. Your proactive position can help them, perhaps your neighbors and others, at times of greatest need. Pride can often stop people from asking for help, so look behind the eyes of those who hesitate to accept it.
The price increases will not only hit retail grocers hard, but they will also hit restaurant and industrial food supply companies like Sysco. Food away from home will increase in price, because the food suppliers are all experiencing the same price increases.
Food, fuel and energy price increases will continue to be the most impactful problem into 2022. The problem will compound, because buying offices of the large multinational corporations enter this phase of consumer and commodity squeeze by looking to leverage their size for competitive advantage.
Large multinationals will make advance order purchases today at higher prices. Advanced purchasing becomes a competitive advantage, and they leverage that in the supply chain. The downstream consequence is a material shortage, because the commodity is wiped out, which drives up the price and then those same multinationals execute distribution to a higher profit.
This gaming of inventory for profit, or inventory evaluation/capitalization, is a less discussed outcome of rapid inflation. Multinationals have deep pockets, and they can maximize profits by executing advanced purchase orders to lock in commodity prices. Unfortunately, the little guys have a tough time competing against them when the inventories dry up.
While the examples above all relate to fast turn consumable goods, the same purchasing leverage is used by large corporations on durable goods. Retailers, large and small, then begin competing to secure inventories while supplies are limited; this too drives up prices. It’s a hot mess of competition that squeezes the consumer even harder.
The only thing that stops this process is the inevitable collapse in demand, but that outcome sucks also. In the interim, I hope and pray to have provided y’all with enough advanced notification so that all of us can ride this inflation storm out just a teensy bit better than if we didn’t know it was coming.
All of this was completely avoidable…. THAT makes me angry!
Can we afford to wait for the election?
There is always Goya foods. Probably more healthy without so many preservatives.
We’ve had years now to learn about the brands that love freedom and respect autonomy. Now we can stand by them fully.
Remember, John Kerry married the widow of Heinz foods which now appears is joined with Kraft.
He never ceases to try & scare the weak-minded with global warming fears.
Well, yes, the world has experienced climate changes of incredible proportions since its creation.
Dinosaurs couldn’t stop it, nor wooly mammoths, & neither will anyone today.
Get carrots, onions, and celery now while at good prices. Wash, chop, and freeze! If you like peppers and onions with your sausage, do the same.
Squashes can be peeled, de seeded, chopped and frozen. Have a family day of peeling potatoes, mashing, and freezing in meal ready portions. Just take a cookie/Ice Cream scoop and drop your mash onto freezer paper on a cookie tray. Freeze solid and bag it up.
Take advantage of bargains. Aldi butter currently $1.99 pound. You can freeze it for 2 years.
If you’re KETO get your allulose before it sells out. Sadly its all processed in China!
There is also a shortage off seeds and fertilizer
When I cook a chicken and make a large batch of chicken stock, I often will make a pot of soup.
Since I already have the veggies and cutting board out I will process a lot of them for the freezer, for soup & stew. I freeze them in some 1 1/2 cup containers covered in some of the homemade chicken stock so it is minutes to start a batch of crockpot soup.
That is a short term solution to a long term problem. They will starve us into submission. They will turn all of us into their graphine filled obedient robots if they get their way. They have been planning this for a long time and we are late to the game. Not many moves on the chessboard for us. There are few if any good guys in this gov. Global lockdown for the flu and I’m supposed to get shots whenever big brother says so. Oh, but they are protecting “democracy.” What a f*king joke. How can anyone believe this garbage? Amazing how many do believe it.
By the end of this, A.R. Roberts, you’ll see God’s hand and protection. Why wait for proof? Pray now. Develop a prayer life to go with the saving and storing and wise decisions.
Amen!
He’s got the whole world in his hands.
Sometimes a little story helps give us hope to keep going in the face of odds: Survivor Cow –
Love Christian……what a blessing.
I don’t mean to be a spoiler, you have great information, as long as the utilities remain on.
Twenty percent will only be the starting point. This will end in daily rationing. That is for only those able to buy and sell. Remember too that you’ll own nothing and be yet be happy about it, according to Klaus Schwab.
“When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature saying, “Come and see!” And behold, a Black Horse, and he who sat on it had a balance scale in his hand. I heard a voice in the middle of the four living creatures saying, “A quart of wheat for a days wage, and three quarts of barley for a days wages! You shall no harm to the oil and the wine!” ~ Apokalypsis 6.5-6
They will own everything and they will be happy. We are useless eaters to them. Let that sink in as you watch your family starve. What they have planned for us will make the WW2 holocaust seem like sunday picnic. When they say they want to depopulate the earth you had better believe them. They are not letting their foot off the gas pedal. The supreme will say the gov can inject anything they want into our bodies (not theirs of course!). For the people act will get rid of those pesky elections. You see, the founders of America felt the central gov had absolute authority like monarchy. It says so in the constitution, right? LMAO. States have no rights and the bill of rights was just guideline. Second Amendment was for deer hunting with only flintlock muskets. That is our supreme Soviet in Amerika today, I mean, supreme court. As DJT likes to say, “We’ll see what happens.”
More like the holodomore
You missed chapter four. The church has arrived in heaven with those 24 ELDERS, and is not mentioned again until chapter 19:7 the wedding of the lamb. The survivors of the tribulation are the invited guests.
Look up your redemption is drawing near!even at the door.
If you belong to the church of brotherly love you won’t be here when The lion of Judah , the lamb begins to break those seals and begins to deal with those who hate truth. He will keep you from that hour Rev.3:7
Yes, but the Bible says we will have tribulations, though, in my opinion, we will not go through the Great Tribulation. Still, tough times are ahead. Garden if you can, a few chickens will provide eggs and many cities now permit small flocks of hens. Take advantage of sales, store and use the basics. Dehydrating is easy and inexpensive. Cut the cable tv, if you haven’t already, and economize where you can. Our parents and grandparents made it through the Great Depression and then World War 2. It’s do-able.
Never forget to trust and pray and always be ready to give an answer for the hope that is within you.
You are correct. Because Christ never said He would keep us from all trials, only that He would send the Holy Spirit to go through it with us. We are to love those who hate us. And I don’t think any of us has even really tried that yet. Not in this country. We will soon become intimately acquainted with the persecuted church which has survived all this world has thrown at her since the beginning.
Unless you have a pile of children spending $200-$300 a week on groceries is totally avoidable. (I’m not counting diapers, formula, personal care & cleaning items.)
Cook from scratch, buy items when on sale and watch waste, have even a small garden. When beef is expensive watch for sales and switch to cheaper meat – like chicken.
I look at the list of brands, many I never buy. The ones I do buy are on sale for the price of generic or even less with a coupon! We prefer Hellman’s mayo, but it went up in 2020 and hasn’t come down, sales put it at what it normal sold for pre-Covid… so we don’t use it anymore. Aldi’s isn’t quite as good, but it’s within our budget.
There are numerous FaceBook groups on how to save money on groceries, without eating just beans & rice.
While I realize that some people
“A working-class family who typically spends $200 to $300 a week on groceries is already getting hammered at the gas pumps and grocery store. Another $50 bucks on top of the grocery bill each week can be very stressful.”
“spending $200-$300 a week on groceries is totally avoidable….Cook from scratch, buy items when on sale and watch waste, have even a small garden”
Exactly what the wife and I do.
What is weird is that $50 a week IS our grocery budget for the week for 2 adults.
People can spend what they want on food, but they are making choices.
Cook from scratch, shop once a week and only buy what’s on sale. Instead of throwing leftovers out, throw them in freezer.
Learn to cook, do some foraging, eat weeds, yes, weeds. Sochan, Amaranth, Nettles, and my personal favorite Lambs Quarters. I researched, identified, gathered, and ate these last year and they are excellent. I am also am experienced mushroom hunter and I highly recommend making no mistakes.
Also, learn to cook the unpopular cuts of meat. Slow roasted pork belly with crackling skin is unbelievable at about $4 a lb. Pork shoulder on the smoker, come on, $2 lb on sale! Chicken thighs, turkey and chicken legs, slow cooked and shredded for sandwiches with bones boiled for soup broth, can’t get any better.
You know, lot’s of people say we don’t want to go back to the past in how we lived but that is exactly what you need to do. Make leftovers and learn to use every bit of food. Start a small garden. 2 2×6’s will get you a small raised bed to start. Save peelings from carrots, potatoes onions etc to enhance your soup broths. I have bags in freezer just for collecting the boilables. Conserve, conservatives!
As a test, I’ve been living on five dollars a day for food and sundries since the spring of 2020 and have been tracking prices of that basic food basket since then. Surprisingly, though some have gone up, some have also gone down and many are still the same.
Christmas dinner was instant mashed potatoes and gravy, canned chicken, some corn and green beans and a cup of fruit for dessert. Quite satisfying. On another forum I frequent, I saw some pictures of member’s dinners that took my breath away, the pinnacle was a 7lb prime rib that said 171.55 on the price tag. Whoa, good on them.
Once all the mask nonsense got too frustrating I stopped shopping in the stores and found, particularly since fuel has gone sky-high, it’s far more cost-effective not to drive the 40 mile round trip to town but rather let the staples come to the forest.
No mask, no vaccine, no treatment, beat the Covid a few times, haven’t had fresh red meat in over a year, canned vegetables only, yesterday I tied a rope to my waist and dragged a small dead redwood I’d cut down up to the house to make it into some firewood to heat the house. I’ve got a tractor but figure the exercise is good for me. Not bad for a geezer in his 60’s.
Gotta keep up the energy level to stay sharp and prepared to take out the Communist threat. Fortunately we shoot in our own yards where I live. Hope the Commies get the message. Where my family is from, Russia, the only good Commie is a dead Commie. They escaped the Bolsheviks during the Revolution. I’m not going anywhere. We’re gonna party.
May God bless and keep you safe Dunes!
I’ve been averaging $7 or less a day for the past 3 years… but that’s for 2 adults. It’s easier to shop bargains for two and get a greater variety.
Right now there are several counties in Europe that feel it’s just fine to substitute meal worms, crickets and the like for meat of all kinds!! The cost has gone out of sight in many areas of the world. Here we are still shielded from the worst the world and its elite has to throw! But it will eventually reach us too. Pray for God’s guidance throughout this trying time. And pray He doesn’t tarry. God’s blessings in this new year.👵😇
This is being engineered. All part of the global reset. Looks like there is little chance for a peaceful way out of this.
That’s a big bingo for A. R……. that, is in fact where this train will end, keep packing away ammo…. it is coming.
Sundance, IMO there is no riding this out. It will not end until we end it. This is a zero sum game and they will not take their foot of the gas pedal. I believe we have crossed the Rubicon as you like say. Sheriffs, citizen grand juries and militias are the only way to stop this. As long as they perceive us as weak they will act like we are their property. They will strap us down and stick us and our children with syringes like cattle. They are playing long game. When people are starving to death there is no fight. Stalin showed us that. If everyone stopped complying we could end this, but that is not happening. The narrative has become so ridiculous and infantile it is astounding to see so many believing any of it. I think they call this suspending disbelief.
I mostly agree with you, but that doesn’t mean I can’t soften the impact by having a well stocked pantry, bought before prices went up.
“All of this was completely avoidable….
THAT makes me angry“
All of this was completely intentional
THAT makes me angrier.
Timothy Dixon (at 7:58 min): “God said, ‘I am resetting the reset.'”
Since I retired when Obama had completed his takeover of the medical industry and I knew that the Oil & Gas industry was next on the list of that sorry Communist, I built in an average of 4% inflation to my retirement savings as an average I would need to keep up with my expenses later in my retirement years. It worked beautifully for ten years, thanks to PDJT, but now I really wish I had decided on a 6% figure so I would still be able to sustain my finances in spite of the Collectivist “social justice” plans for our future.
If we don’t defeat these morons, nothing I could have saved will be a hedge against them. Nothing can go well when you have spiraling inflation. Why do we have to learn this again after the problems the Jimmy Carter administration gave us. The good news is that the country will not stand for this stupidity much longer.
Somebody has to pay for John F’n Kerry’s Marina docking fees for his wife’s dead husband’s yacht.
Heinz Ketchup was always a staple in our Pennsylvania house.
Since Kerry’s marriage to the widow of the Heinz heir, when I look at a bottle, I hear Kerry preaching.
Paraphrasing his contention he needs private jets because of his importance & his work, doesn’t enhance a hamburger’s flavor.
Like his followers, he’s about as green as a red herring.
Gas prices in NJ were over $4 / gal back in W. Bush’s term – and that was without the additional state taxes on gas that exist today.
And yet prices never went up 20%.
They are yanking our chain.
The run away inflation is not due to the presence of the Biden Admin. it is due to the ABSENCE of the Trump Administration.
What he just said.
Hey Sundance…you should also include…Not only are price increases based off current high prices, products have been made smaller along with price increases with deceptive packaging that the average consumer can’t discern.
Ex: The 5# bag of sugar is now 4#.
Sorry that has been for a few years already. Might be even over ten years.
Great news for John “Mr Ketchup” Kerry. Now he can fly his private jets ad lib & preach about “global warming” with a fatter wallet.
Lefty idiots must learn the hard way. Yes, I will hurt too, but they need to experience it. I have noted non negotiables on lefties (many related to the last election) and Trumps tenure for me to know if they have learned enough. They will really need to hurt bad for them to come around. And I’m all for it.
I guess now we can put stickers on grocery store shelves about who caused this. “I did that.”
Guys, you have to see a normal economy as a bunch of hives.
With everyone skimming 5% it was OK.
But to make a profit on demand reduced by 5%, prices must rise by 10%…
The finely tuned machine has been sabotaged.
Add inflation to the required price rises, and we now should be on 12,% at the moment.
Just as well, I don’t consume all those processed foodstuffs.
Good luck everyone – here’s hoping we all make it.
Where one wants to preserved off-grid (to avoid long power cuts) it is a well-tried method to DRY vegetables where the moisture is taken out and one is left with the basic dry material which is then put in airtight containers and stored in a dark cool place.
Eggs can be preserved in a saturated lime solution for a very long time.
Whoever voted this regime into power can now take the heat! Unfortunately the innocent are punished right along with the guilty. Sad but true.👵😇
Hunts Ketchup tastes much better than Heinz and at least 20% cheaper. Gedny Pickles are the best on planet earth and cheaper than Heinz. Annies Mac and cheese is better than Kraft. Shop accordingly.